Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.381028 1.566559 1.769763 2.009161 2.283898 2.589805 2.956896
2025-11-30 1.136885 1.388542 1.686849 2.067847 2.543421 3.119906 3.875380
2025-12-07 0.955364 1.238867 1.597282 2.086560 2.741590 3.594527 4.799525
2025-12-14 0.806324 1.098929 1.489277 2.052881 2.853691 3.962499 5.634511
2025-12-21 0.685213 0.974214 1.377851 1.989453 2.904499 4.241362 6.376675
2025-12-28 0.631832 0.934103 1.374607 2.072829 3.169415 4.855069 7.699649
2026-01-04 0.582418 0.891672 1.359882 2.132854 3.401617 5.444884 9.072462
2026-01-11 0.537916 0.850096 1.339453 2.178047 3.611676 6.022344 10.510119
2026-01-18 0.496311 0.807438 1.310937 2.203960 3.789317 6.564651 11.966655
2026-01-25 0.449257 0.750117 1.251124 2.167726 3.851526 6.909364 13.109474
2026-02-01 0.398496 0.680887 1.163266 2.070616 3.789400 7.015891 13.805287
2026-02-08 0.361162 0.630976 1.103351 2.016129 3.797723 7.252343 14.792263
2026-02-15 0.328567 0.587537 1.052767 1.977577 3.840660 7.579844 16.065543
2026-02-22 0.315819 0.579042 1.065236 2.061833 4.139808 8.470236 18.728669
2026-03-01 0.297354 0.557852 1.051483 2.092443 4.333415 9.170565 21.100970
2026-03-08 0.274019 0.524847 1.011284 2.063868 4.396931 9.597764 22.911266
2026-03-15 0.249723 0.487494 0.958524 2.002299 4.379172 9.838832 24.309537
2026-03-22 0.242469 0.483629 0.973034 2.087285 4.704181 10.925512 28.090565
2026-03-29 0.233376 0.474997 0.976601 2.148231 4.981702 11.942552 31.902294
2026-04-05 0.223610 0.463936 0.973744 2.193986 5.229072 12.924447 35.829036
2026-04-12 0.213008 0.450015 0.963158 2.220199 5.431604 13.823847 39.715426
2026-04-19 0.198542 0.426241 0.928256 2.183718 5.468758 14.289524 42.399074
2026-04-26 0.180994 0.394008 0.871094 2.085853 5.331453 14.255831 43.517565